Saturday, May 19, 2012

ROBUST Defines April 2012 Sales

   April proved to be another robust month of sales in Paradise Valley. 45 sales closed in April 2012 -- 91% of them were “non-distressed” sales.  What a turnaround from a year ago! And, even more dramatic comparing it with 2010.
   April 2011 saw 38 sales -- 32% were "distressed" .  In April 2010 there were only 24 sales – 37% were "distressed" .
   The number of active listings has also dramatically changed.  Currently, there are 260 homes listed for sale on the MLS.  In 2010 there were 301, and in 2010, a whopping  410.  Click Here for Detailed Sales Report.

Monday, May 14, 2012

How Hot is the Paradise Valley market, really?

   I know that when you’re looking at homes in Paradise Valley, what you really want to know is "what’s going on in my price range?" – whether you're considering the sale of your existing home, or purchasing a new one.   
   The statisticians like to report how many months supply is available. It's figured by dividing the number of active listings by the average sales per month.  Even in the small town of Paradise Valley that number varies widely based on the price point.  Find your point of interest on the graph below and you’ll see what I mean.

    Under $1mm you'd better act fast if you want something.  $1 - $2mm with a 6-7 month supply is pretty much a seller's market.  Above that, it is going to depend entirely on the property and location. Top quality in a great location at the right price is selling quickly. But then, hasn't that always been the case?

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Where’s That Crystal Ball When I Need It?

If you had asked me early in 2010 how real estate was doing in Paradise Valley I would have hesitatingly told you real estate prices looked like they were stabilizing. Ask me now, and I'll tell you I don't know anything about what's going to happen. Throughout the summer the number of sales was so high that when I did my monthly report I focused on number of units sold. September was dismal with only 15 sales compared with 34 in August. A few days ago when I did the report for October and number of sales was back up (26), I decided instead of looking at the number of sales I would take a look at how prices of sales in October compare with the first 6 months of 2010. Using their list of pending sales, the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service had predicted another slide in prices valleywide, but would the same be true in the Paradise Valley luxury market ? The answer – yes. I was shocked! I prefer to be the bearer of good news, and yet I am committed to report true facts. It doesn't matter when the home was built, before 2000 or after, October sales report a 10% drop in price from the first 6 months of the year. Of course whether or not this news is good or bad depends on your perspective. If you are a seller I would tell you not to sell now if you don't have to, if you're looking to buy you're probably ecstatic that your dream home has yet to appear.

The details of every sale are on my website. Go to and click on Search Paradise Valley. I think you will find it fascinating to see how actual sales prices compare with the original and final listing prices, as well as how the number of days on market are affected by high original listing prices. Send me an email and I'll send you the report every month.